Conf = NESCAC State = CT
Nickname = Cardinals Coach = Kim WilliamsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.4464798 home-field advantage = -0.60 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Colby NESCAC (13- 7, 93.8) 8-10 310 A Salisbury Coast to Coas (17- 3, 96.6) 13- 7 313 A Catholic Landmark (13- 8, 90.0) 12- 7 316 H Williams NESCAC ( 7- 7, 92.2) 16-12 318 H Endicott Commonwealth (12- 8, 87.9) 15- 8 320 H St Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 5-12, 85.7) 14- 5 330 A Middlebury NESCAC (21- 0, 99.9) 10-12 402 A Amherst NESCAC ( 8- 8, 92.3) 17- 8 406 H Tufts NESCAC (16- 4, 97.7) 17-15 410 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 9, 92.7) 16- 7 413 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 91.4) 14- 7 414 H William Smith Liberty Leagu (20- 3, 95.2) 13-10 420 A Bowdoin NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.6) 12- 7 421 A Bates NESCAC ( 6- 9, 89.1) 18- 5 424 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 90.1) 15- 5 427 H Bowdoin NESCAC ( 8- 8, 91.6) 14- 5 504 H Tufts NESCAC (16- 4, 97.7) 15- 7 505 A Middlebury NESCAC (21- 0, 99.9) 5-11 512 H York MAC Commonwea (14- 7, 93.1) 16- 6 518 H Colby NESCAC (13- 7, 93.8) 5- 7
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Colby 8-10 -2 4 --- -6.26 310 A Salisbury 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.79 313 A Catholic 12- 7 5 6 -1.89 316 H Williams 16-12 4 5 -1.82 318 H Endicott 15- 8 7 10 0.00 320 H St Lawrence 14- 5 9 12 0.00 330 A Middlebury 10-12 -2 -3 1.05 402 A Amherst 17- 8 9 4 + 2.40 406 H Tufts 17-15 2 0 1.71 410 H Trinity 16- 7 9 5 1.63 413 H Hamilton 14- 7 7 6 0.33 414 H William Smith 13-10 3 2 0.19 420 A Bowdoin 12- 7 5 5 -0.24 421 A Bates 18- 5 13 7 0.00 424 A Connecticut College 15- 5 10 6 0.26 427 H Bowdoin 14- 5 9 6 0.57 504 H Tufts 15- 7 8 0 +++ 6.71 505 A Middlebury 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.95 512 H York 16- 6 10 4 + 2.05 518 H Colby 5- 7 -2 4 --- -6.26UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Colby 8-10 -2 4 --- -6.26 518 H Colby 5- 7 -2 4 --- -6.26 505 A Middlebury 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.95OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 H Tufts 15- 7 8 0 +++ 6.71 310 A Salisbury 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.79 402 A Amherst 17- 8 9 4 + 2.40 512 H York 16- 6 10 4 + 2.05
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.45 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 83.92 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 1 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7563 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 6 RPI Rating............... .6932 RPI Rank................... 5 Champ. Probability ...... 9.5 Championship Rank ......... 3 Selection sum ........... 16 Selection Rank ............ 6 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 155. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 3 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 105. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 5 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7